The upcoming elections in Virginia, New Jersey, Kentucky, and Mississippi could serve as an early referendum on President Joe Biden’s presidency and provide valuable insights into the political landscape ahead of the 2024 midterm elections.
In Virginia, all 40 seats in the state Senate and all 100 seats in the House of Delegates are up for grabs. Currently, Democrats hold a narrow 22-18 majority in the Senate and a 52-48 edge in the House. However, political analysts believe that Republicans have a good chance of taking control of both chambers, which could significantly impact the state’s legislative agenda.
New Jersey, a traditionally Democratic stronghold, will also hold crucial elections. All 120 seats in the state’s General Assembly and all 40 seats in the Senate are up for grabs. Republicans have made significant gains in recent years, flipping seven seats in the Assembly in 2021. They are hoping to continue their momentum and gain control of at least one chamber.
In Kentucky, Democratic Governor Andy Beshear is seeking re-election against Republican State Attorney General Daniel Cameron. Beshear has touted his record on job creation, education, and healthcare, while Cameron has focused on public safety, education, and culture war issues. The race is considered to be close, and the outcome could have implications for the state’s future direction.
In Mississippi, Republican Governor Tate Reeves is seeking re-election against Democrat Brandon Presley, a former small-town mayor. Reeves has led in polls throughout the campaign, but Presley has raised more money and is hoping to pull off an upset. The race is focused on issues such as taxes, healthcare, and education.
In Ohio, voters will decide on two ballot measures: one to enshrine abortion rights in the state constitution and another to legalize marijuana for recreational use. The abortion rights measure is particularly significant, as it would override a six-week abortion ban signed into law by Republican Governor Mike DeWine.
The outcomes of these elections could have significant national implications. A strong Republican showing could embolden the party heading into the 2024 midterms, while a Democratic victory could boost morale among the party’s base. Additionally, the Ohio ballot measures could signal a shift in public opinion on abortion and marijuana legalization.